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- Bitcoin’s price could potentially soar to $45,000 if it starts to mirror gold’s price performance and investment structure, according to a note by JPMorgan’s analysts.
- Bitcoin’s year-to-date (YTD) performance has seen a 60% increase, currently trading around $27,000, but to reach the predicted $45,000 price point, it must be accepted as an investment tool akin to gold.
JPMorgan’s Bitcoin Analysis and the Role of Gold
In a world where institutional investors own approximately $3 trillion worth of gold, Bitcoin’s potential to skyrocket is substantial, according to JPMorgan’s analysts. Should Bitcoin begin to mimic gold in terms of price performance and investment structure, the cryptocurrency’s price could soar to $45,000.
Bitcoin’s year-to-date (YTD) performance has been impressive, starting 2023 at under $17,000 following a volatile 2022. The cryptocurrency broke this threshold early in the new year, eventually peaking above $30,000. Despite a subsequent pullback to its current level around $27,000, Bitcoin has still seen a 60% increase since the beginning of 2023.
Bitcoin’s Path to Gold-Like Status
JPMorgan’s analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience another 75% surge. However, to achieve this, Bitcoin needs to gain recognition as a similar investment tool to gold – a view long advocated by Bitcoin maximalists.
As the note explains,
“Investors currently hold around $3 trillion in gold for investment purposes outside of central banks. If Bitcoin can parallel this, it suggests a $45,000 price. This projection assumes that Bitcoin’s value will match that of gold in private investors’ portfolios, either in terms of risk capital or volume.”
Gold has also seen an uptick since the start of the year, albeit modestly. It started 2023 at around $1,830/oz, climbing above $2,000 in early May before dipping to $1,950/oz. This translates to a YTD increase of about 6.2%.
Adding to this outlook, JPMorgan’s strategists highlighted the upcoming 2024 Bitcoin halving event. Historically, such events have been a catalyst for Bitcoin’s price surge. The popular AI chatbot, ChatGPT, also recently shared insights on the fourth halving, scheduled for 2024.
Given these factors, the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching the $45,000 mark seems plausible if it successfully mirrors gold’s role in investors’ portfolios. As always, such predictions should be viewed with caution, considering the volatility and uncertainties inherent in cryptocurrency markets.