- 21Shares and VanEck lead efforts for a Spot Solana ETF, awaiting SEC approval to potentially boost SOL’s value.
- The application by 21Shares hinges on Solana not being classified as a security to avoid stringent regulations.
The possibility of a Spot Solana Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has piqued the interest of Wall Street, with companies like 21Shares and VanEck leading the charge.
Should the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approve such an ETF, it could substantially affect the market performance of Solana (SOL).
Swiss asset management firm 21Shares recently submitted a proposal to list a Solana ETF in the United States, following a similar move by VanEck. This application relies on the premise that Solana is not classified as a security under U.S. law, a distinction since securities face more stringent regulatory requirements.
If the SEC were to classify Solana as a security, 21Shares indicated that it might withdraw its application due to the burdensome registration that this classification entails.
As we have detailed in ETHNews, the approval of a spot Solana ETF could potentially enhance Solana’s market price, mirroring the impact seen with Bitcoin following its own spot ETF approval.
However, the extent of investment inflows Solana might attract remains uncertain. Analysts from ETHNews have outlined several scenarios to gauge potential outcomes:
- Bear Case Scenario: This scenario assumes Solana ETFs attract minimal interest, with inflows only 2% of those seen by Bitcoin, suggesting a cautious market response.
- Base Case Scenario: Here, Solana is projected to garner 5% of the inflows Bitcoin received, based on observed investment activity in Solana from 2021 to 2023. This represents a moderate yet significant interest from investors.
- Bullish Scenario: Considering SOL’s higher relative inflows in 2022 and 2023, this scenario posits that Solana could draw as much as 14% of the inflows Bitcoin attracted on average, signaling strong investor confidence and market potential.
As of now, SOL is trading at $141.80, marking a 2.53% decrease over the last 24 hours. Additionally, its trading volume has decreased by 33.23%, which may indicate market apprehension or a natural ebb in trading activities.
The approval of a Solana ETF holds the potential to influence Solana’s valuation and trading market. Investors and market analysts alike are closely monitoring these developments, anticipating how regulatory decisions and subsequent market reactions will shape the trajectory of SOL’s price in the near term.
