- Market sentiment reflects little expectation of short-term recovery, as indicated by Dogecoin’s Weighted Sentiment of -0.411.
- Declining Funding Rate diminishes confidence from long positions, hindering DOGE’s potential to surpass overhead resistance.
Dogecoin (DOGE) faces the possibility of slipping below the $0.13 mark as liquidity in derivatives markets declines, signaling a pause in the cryptocurrency’s recent run.
Coinglass data reveals that DOGE’s Open Interest (OI) has plummeted from $2.11 billion to $780 million since April 1. OI represents the value of open positions in a contract and fluctuates based on net positioning.
![doge-open-interest-and-price](https://www.ethnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/doge-open-interest-and-price.png)
A decrease in OI suggests that contracts worth over $1 billion were closed in just over 30 days, indicating aggressive selling pressure and liquidity withdrawal from DOGE.
This inefficiency has also impacted DOGE’s price, which has dropped by 28.11% in the last month alone, according to CoinMarketCap data.
Related: Descending Triangle Breakout: Is Dogecoin Poised for a Skyrocketing Comeback?
Despite a slight uptick in price over the last 24 hours, the declining OI suggests that DOGE’s downward momentum may persist. If this trend continues, DOGE could either stabilize around $0.13 or experience a further decline to $0.11.
Market sentiment aligns with this outlook, as indicated by Dogecoin’s Weighted Sentiment of -0.411, suggesting little expectation of a short-term recovery. Furthermore, the Funding Rate, which reflects the cost of holding an open perp position, has been decreasing.
![dogecoin-funding-and-sentiment-2048x693](https://www.ethnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/dogecoin-funding-and-sentiment-2048x693-1.png)
This indicates diminishing confidence from long positions, making it unlikely for DOGE to surpass overhead resistance and reach $0.15 in the near future.
Read more: The Road to $1: Dogecoin’s Journey Amidst Market Speculations
While network activity has seen a slight increase, with the number of active addresses rising from less than 50,000 to 67,200, it remains significantly below levels seen during DOGE’s peak at $0.20.
![dogecoin-circulation-and-activity-2048x693](https://www.ethnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/dogecoin-circulation-and-activity-2048x693-1.png)
This suggests that any potential price hike driven by increased network activity may be short-lived.
Additionally, one-day circulation data indicates a decline in DOGE’s usage, further reinforcing the likelihood of the cryptocurrency remaining range-bound as fewer coins are moved.
As such, DOGE may continue to face challenges in breaking out of its current price range amidst declining liquidity and subdued market sentiment.