Zcash has plunged sharply over the past 24 hours, sliding roughly 20% as market sentiment deteriorates and traders brace for deeper downside.
The correction comes after days of persistent bleed, with $ZEC now trading near $360, according to Coinbase data. The sell-off accelerated after several failed attempts to reclaim higher Fibonacci levels, reinforcing bearish momentum across the privacy-coin sector.
Technical Breakdown Points to Further Decline
The rapid decline aligns closely with the bearish outlook shared by analyst Altcoin Sherpa, who warned that Zcash could fall toward $200 in the coming weeks or months. His chart shows ZEC repeatedly failing to hold key support zones and slipping below important fib levels. Although brief bounces are expected, he anticipates the broader structure to trend lower, driven by weakening market strength and the absence of bullish catalysts.
$ZEC I think this is going to go to $200 or something in the coming weeks/months and expect more bleeding (though there will be bounces along the way). I thought it'd bounce here to be honest but more just watching this one and haven't captured any of the shorts (yet). pic.twitter.com/jSz8oCRRuU
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) November 30, 2025
ZEC’s on-chain and technical indicators echo this caution. Volatility sits at a very high 15.87%, and the Fear & Greed Index reflects extreme fear with a score of 24, suggesting market participants remain hesitant. The 50-day SMA at $429has officially crossed above current price action, reinforcing the bearish trend, while the 200-day SMA at $145 shows how far ZEC could realistically fall if macro weakness continues.
What Trading Data Suggests
The latest TradingView chart shows a steady decline from the $500–$600 range into the mid-$300s, with selling volume expanding as price breaks down. This combination of expanding volume and falling price typically signals continuation rather than reversal. ZEC attempted minor intraday rebounds but failed to build upward momentum, a sign that buyers are not yet stepping in at meaningful scale.
Given current market conditions, the next notable support sits around the $300–$320 zone. If this area fails, the key target highlighted by Altcoin Sherpa, $200, becomes increasingly realistic. That level also aligns with a deeper Fibonacci retracement and the broader risk-off environment dominating altcoins.
Sentiment Is Neutral but Leaning Bearish
Despite the sharp sell-off, ZEC’s sentiment rating remains “neutral,” reflecting mixed expectations among market participants. The asset still has 18/30 green days within the past month, showing it retains short-term bursts of recovery. RSI sits near 43, a neutral zone that suggests ZEC is not yet oversold, leaving room for further decline before triggering potential relief rallies.
How Low Could Zcash Drop?
If selling pressure persists and broader market fear intensifies, especially heading into historically weak December conditions for crypto, ZEC could continue sliding toward the mid-$200s. Only a strong rebound above the 50-day SMA and a shift in sentiment would invalidate this trajectory.
For now, traders are preparing for more volatility and watching whether Zcash can stabilize above $350 or if deeper lows become inevitable.
