- Crypto analyst EGRAG is predicting a potentially massive increase in XRP’s market value, suggesting it could reach as high as $1.5 trillion based on technical patterns seen on price charts.
- This comes as Ripple sent a letter to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to address questions regarding when a digital asset should be considered no longer a security.
Discussions surrounding XRP’s future potential are intensifying, fueled by both ambitious price predictions from market analysts and Ripple’s ongoing efforts to secure regulatory clarity in the United States. A recent forecast suggests a huge jump in XRP’s market value could be on the horizon, coinciding with Ripple’s latest communication to the SEC.
Analyzing XRP’s Potential and Ripple’s Regulatory Efforts
Crypto analyst EGRAG has shared a bold prediction, suggesting that the total market value of XRP could experience a major breakout, potentially climbing significantly higher. EGRAG’s outlook, shared in a recent update, points to a specific technical pattern on the XRP market cap chart, known as a W formation, sometimes called a double-bottom.
This pattern, completed earlier in 2025, is often seen as a signal that the price is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Based on this pattern and past price cycles, EGRAG outlines potential targets for the XRP market cap. While a more conservative view suggests a target around $270 billion, which would roughly equate to an XRP price of about $4.60 based on the current supply, a more aggressive view based on a different scale points to a much higher target of $1.5 trillion.
If the market cap were to reach this level, the corresponding price of XRP could potentially be around $25.56. EGRAG also noted intermediate targets like $450 billion, around $7.66 per XRP, and $978 billion, around $16.65 per XRP, based on historical growth percentages.
While the analyst advises caution, stating that market cap can sometimes be misleading, he uses it as a tool to identify these potential price targets.
Adding another layer to the discussion around XRP’s future is Ripple’s recent engagement with the U.S. SEC. Ripple has submitted an additional letter to the SEC, specifically addressing a crucial question being discussed: When should a digital asset no longer be treated as an investment contract or security, especially in secondary market trading?
In a letter to an SEC task force, Ripple referenced a speech by Commissioner Hester Peirce, who raised this very question. Ripple backed up their argument with existing legal analysis and pointed to a key court ruling from July 2023.
In that case, Judge Analisa Torres ruled that while Ripple’s direct sales of XRP to big institutions could be seen as securities, the XRP sold programmatically on exchanges—the secondary market sales—were not considered investment contracts. The judge also made it clear that XRP itself isn’t inherently a security.
Ripple argued that the U.S. Congress is responsible for creating new laws if there are gaps, not the SEC. They suggested considering the maturity of a network and token as a factor in determining when it no longer needs to be subject to certain securities laws. Ripple also proposed the idea of a safe harbor to protect those in the market who are acting responsibly and trying to follow the rules.
By providing clarity on when a token loses its security status after initial distribution, Ripple believes it would reduce confusion and uncertainty in the market. They argued that tokens that have been traded openly for a long time should not face the same regulatory rules as initial investment offerings.
Ultimately, the potential for XRP to reach a $1.5 trillion market cap, as predicted by the analyst, could be significantly influenced by achieving the kind of regulatory clarity that Ripple is actively seeking from the SEC. XRP is currently trading at $2.29, down 0.56% in the last 24 hours.