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- Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, foresees a temporary pause in the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, despite the persisting challenge of inflation.
- Dimon cautions about the possible volatility triggered by quantitative tightening, emphasizing the need for businesses to prepare.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan and a known crypto skeptic, predicts a momentary cessation in the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes, an outlook that comes with a caution for risk-asset enthusiasts. During a recent Bloomberg interview, Dimon indicated that a halt in rate hikes seems appropriate under the current circumstances.
However, the top executive suggests that the Fed might need to reinitiate rate hikes to control inflation, which, in his view, might prove more tenacious than initially anticipated.
“My simple view is that they’re right to pause at this point. There’s been a significant increase, approximately 500 basis points,”
stated Dimon. He further added that people should prepare for potential rate hikes, particularly those in the finance and real estate sectors.
Dimon also broached the subject of potential market turbulence, resulting from quantitative tightening. He stated,
“We’ve never really had quantitative [tightening]. [We’ve had quantitative easing] for the better part of 15 years, and now you’re going to see quantitative tightening, and I think the effects may be a little harsher than people expect.”
He optimistically expressed hope for overcoming such challenges.
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In his most recent annual letter to JPMorgan shareholders, Dimon declared that the largest bank in the US is braced for possibly higher interest rates and enduring inflation. He emphasized that a range of assets, including cryptocurrencies and “meme stocks,” are on the brink of facing the consequences of over a decade of quantitative easing (QE) and the swift growth of the money supply.
He explained,
“This period of QE also led to extraordinary liquidity (and a surging money supply) that undoubtedly drove increased prices across many investment classes – from stocks and bonds to crypto, meme stocks and real estate, among others.”
Dimon further highlighted the impact on bank deposits which increased from $13 trillion to $18 trillion. The infamous uninsured deposits also grew from $6 trillion to $8 trillion.
In concluding, Dimon reiterated the transition from QE to quantitative tightening (QT), a step the Fed is compelled to take in its ongoing struggle with inflation.
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