- BlackRock’s proposed Bitcoin spot ETF triggers GBTC’s upward movement towards 2023 highs.
- Growing institutional interests marked by a decrease in GBTC discount to Bitcoin spot price.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), the premier institutional Bitcoin investment vehicle, has seen an uptick in its performance, closely approaching its peak values for 2023. The catalyst behind this surge appears to be BlackRock’s recent filing for a Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF), according to data from CoinGlass.
BlackRock, recognized globally as the largest asset manager, has taken the industry by storm with its filing to launch a Bitcoin spot price ETF. This development has seemingly revitalized Bitcoin market sentiment despite the absence of a legal framework permitting spot ETFs in the United States. Nevertheless, many believe that the weight of BlackRock’s reputation could potentially breakthrough this legal deadlock.
In the interim, GBTC, known for its long-standing history of trading at a substantial discount to Bitcoin spot price, has started to show signs of optimism. GBTC’s discount, colloquially referred to as the negative “premium”, stands at -36.6% as per CoinGlass data. Despite being heavily discounted, GBTC’s trading metrics are closer to zero than almost any other period in the current year, indicating a trend reversal from the previously recorded -44% on June 13th.
Venture capitalist Adam Cochran, a partner at Cinneamhain Ventures, asserts that if BlackRock’s ETF application gets the green light, the real benefactor would be GBTC. The approval would not only lay down a roadmap to conversion but also resolve GBTC’s significant discount, catalyzing its growth.
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Meanwhile, the BlackRock proposal has stirred a wave of debates, with market observers questioning if the proposed financial instrument qualifies as an ETF. Detractors argue it’s a similar trust to GBTC, while others, including Cochran, offer a more refined perspective.
As these discussions unfold, GBTC has seen a surge in investor interest. One of the more aggressive buyers includes hedge fund North Rock Digital, which sees an asymmetrical risk-reward scenario with considerable upside potential and limited downside risk.
However, ARK Invest, another notable GBTC holder, has remained static in terms of exposure, with its holdings gradually reducing throughout 2023 according to data from Cathie’s ARK. Despite these variations, the trajectory of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust undeniably demonstrates a growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, setting the stage for a riveting second half of 2023.
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