HomeNewsGold’s Pullback Could Signal the Next Risk-On Wave, Says Analyst

Gold’s Pullback Could Signal the Next Risk-On Wave, Says Analyst

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According to market analyst Michaël van de Poppe, gold’s recent 10% weekly drop is not a reason for panic but rather a sign of shifting market dynamics that could favor Bitcoin and altcoins in the weeks ahead.

After climbing 70% in a single year, gold’s volatility has naturally spiked. Van de Poppe notes that such extreme moves are “far outside normal volatility boundaries,” meaning traders should expect 10% swings in both directions.

Despite the correction, gold remains 30–40% above its 20-month moving average, suggesting it’s still far from its fair value.

Historically, similar overextensions were seen during the 1970s bull cycle, when gold surged before entering a multi-year consolidation. Van de Poppe points out that even a 20% decline from current levels would keep gold within a healthy long-term uptrend.

However, he emphasizes a more important takeaway: when gold starts to stall after a steep run, it often marks the beginning of a broader risk-on rotation. In the previous market cycle, this same setup preceded major rallies in altcoins and Bitcoin as investors shifted from defensive assets like gold into higher-yield opportunities.

With stock indices now at all-time highs and the FOMC meeting approaching, Van de Poppe views gold’s weakness as a constructive signal. “It’s a good sign going into FOMC that gold comes down,” he wrote. “It signals that markets are more open for risk-on appetites. It’s only a matter of time until Bitcoin hits a new all-time high.”

As the macro landscape evolves, the combination of easing inflation pressures, rising equity strength, and declining gold prices could set the stage for a renewed phase of crypto outperformance heading into the final months of 2025.

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Peter Macharia
Peter Macharia
Peter Macharia is a crypto enthusiast and seasoned writer who specializes in blockchain technology, digital assets, and decentralized finance. He has a talent for simplifying complex concepts and turning them into engaging informative content. With a deep understanding of the industry, Peter delivers clear and precise analysis that resonates with both beginners and experienced crypto enthusiasts.
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