HomeBitcoinBitcoin Supply Tightens as Institutional Demand Grows, Price Rally Anticipated

Bitcoin Supply Tightens as Institutional Demand Grows, Price Rally Anticipated

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  • Centralized exchanges’ BTC reserves drop by 1 million in two years; shrinking supply fuels price surge forecasts.
  • Nakamoto-KindlyMD merger secures $710 million to stockpile BTC, joining 190+ entities hoarding over 3.3 million coins.

The amount of Bitcoin held on centralized exchanges has fallen sharply over the past two years, dropping by approximately 1 million coins to 2.4 million, according to data from CryptoQuant.

With Bitcoin’s maximum supply fixed at 21 million and long-term investors continuing to acquire the asset, available reserves are shrinking. ETHNews analysts suggest this trend could lead to a supply imbalance, potentially influencing Bitcoin’s market value in the coming months.

Source: CryptoQuant

Institutional interest has become a driving force behind Bitcoin’s market activity. Over the past 24 months, institutional investors have directed substantial cash into Bitcoin-related products.

This trend is expected to strengthen as governments, including El Salvador and the United States, explore Bitcoin as a hedge against economic challenges such as inflation and debt.

This week, healthcare provider KindlyMD (NASDAQ: KDLY) confirmed plans to merge with Nakamoto Holdings, a firm led by Bitcoin advocate David Bailey. The combined entity aims to create a publicly traded company focused on holding Bitcoin in its treasury, securing $710 million for initial purchases.

This move aligns with a broader pattern of corporations and investment funds allocating reserves to Bitcoin. Over 190 entities, including Strategy and Metaplanet, now collectively hold more than 3.3 million Bitcoin in their treasuries.

Bailey emphasized the merger’s goal: to integrate Bitcoin into mainstream financial systems through accessible investment vehicles.

Our aim is to develop financial products—equities, bonds, hybrids—that connect Bitcoin to global markets,” he stated. “These will be listed on major exchanges, offering clarity and ease for investors.”  

Technical Indicators Point to Upward Momentum

ETHnews analysts note that Bitcoin’s price behavior aligns with historical patterns observed in its four-year cycles. Current technical data suggests the asset may enter a phase of rapid price growth.

BTCUSDT_2025-05-12_16-17-25
Source: BTC/Tradingview

The monthly RSI, a measure of market momentum, has historically peaked near 90 during past bull cycles. Bitcoin’s RSI currently trends upward, while its MACD indicator—a tool tracking price trends—remains in positive territory. These signals, paired with rising trading volumes, indicate sustained buyer activity.

BTCUSDT_2025-05-12_16-18-15
Source: BTC/Tradingview

Projections for Bitcoin’s price vary, but some analysts argue it could climb to between $250,000 and $350,000 by late 2024. This forecast hinges on the ongoing reduction in exchange supplies and heightened institutional participation.

BTCUSDT_2025-05-12_16-19-28
Source: BTC/Tradingview

While past performance does not guarantee future results, the confluence of limited supply and expanding demand creates a unique backdrop for Bitcoin’s market trajectory.

Bitcoin (BTC) – Updated Price Analysis – May 2025

BTCUSD_2025-05-12_16-22-17
Source: BTC/Tradingview

Bitcoin is currently trading at $101,903, reflecting a -2.14% drop in the last 24 hours, yet the asset maintains a strong uptrend. Over the past week, BTC is up +8.09%, and +22.24% over the past month, supported by institutional buying, ETF inflows, and global macro catalysts.

On the yearly view, BTC is up +67.61%, and over the past 6 months, +15.78%, showing consistent strength despite short-term pullbacks.

Technically, BTC has retested its 50-week EMA, a historically significant level often preceding major bull continuation. It remains in an ascending channel, with short-term resistance around $104,000–$105,000, and support sitting firmly at the psychological $100,000 level.

BTCUSD_2025-05-12_16-28-02
Source: BTC/Tradingview

A successful weekly close above $104,500 would open a path toward a new all-time high, targeting $109,000+. Momentum is slightly cooling, but the macro structure is intact.

On-chain and institutional data reinforces the bullish setup:

  • MicroStrategy recently acquired 13,390 BTC for $1.34 billion, now holding 568,840 BTC.
  • U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs added over $920 million in weekly inflows, with total assets surpassing $62.9 billion.
  • Whale activity indicates accumulation at $90,600–$92,000, with large short positions at $94,588 now deeply underwater—suggesting buy pressure if stop-losses trigger.
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Isai Alexei
Isai Alexei
As a content creator, Isai Alexei holds a degree in Marketing, providing a solid foundation for the exploration of technology and finance. Isai's journey into the crypto space began during academic years, where the transformative potential of blockchain technology was initially grasped. Intrigued, Isai delved deeper, ultimately making the inaugural cryptocurrency investment in Bitcoin. Witnessing the evolution of the crypto landscape has been both exciting and educational. Ethereum, with its smart contract capabilities, stands out as Isai's favorite, reflecting a genuine enthusiasm for cutting-edge web3 technologies. Business Email: [email protected] Phone: +49 160 92211628
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