Crypto analyst PlanC has unveiled his long-awaited Bitcoin Quantile Model v2, a data-driven framework that projects potential Bitcoin price ranges extending into 2027. The upgraded model, which uses over 133,000 data points and 1,500 lines of code, aims to map Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory without relying on traditional four-year cycle assumptions.
According to PlanC, the model currently places Bitcoin at a quantile level of 56.2, corresponding to a price of around $113,000. Over the next year, the framework suggests possible trading ranges between $154,000 (median zone) and $316,000 (historic peak zone), with extended projections showing potential valuations as high as $769,000 by 2027 under the most optimistic quantile conditions.
A New Mathematical Approach to Bitcoin Valuation
PlanC explains that Quantile Model v2 builds on principles of piecewise quantile regression using both linear and stretched exponential decay functions to fit long-term price behavior.
Notably, the model’s quantile lines “never cross,” a mathematical refinement that allows consistent forecasting across multiple timeframes.
By leveraging Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) scoring, the system identifies the best statistical fit between exponential and stretched exponential decay functions, with the latter showing 96.4% confidence in explaining Bitcoin’s historical price behavior.
Beyond Cycles: A “Cycle-Agnostic” Bitcoin Framework
Unlike most market models tied to halving cycles or sentiment phases, PlanC’s Quantile Model v2 is cycle-length agnostic. This means it adapts dynamically to new price data instead of relying on historical timing patterns that may weaken as Bitcoin matures.
The model divides Bitcoin’s valuation spectrum into five zones:
- Deep Value (1–20%) – Historically undervalued, accumulation territory
- Discounted (20–50%) – Early growth region
- Premium (50–80%) – Mid-cycle expansion
- Speculative (80–95%) – High-risk, late-stage enthusiasm
- Historic Peaks (95–99.9%) – Extreme euphoria and overvaluation
Bitcoin’s current position around the 56th percentile suggests it’s entering the early premium phase, where historical cycles have typically seen acceleration.
Long-Term Outlook
Based on PlanC’s projection table, the Bitcoin price could potentially reach:
- $185K–$316K within 12 months
- $291K–$499K by 2028 (3 years)
- $515K–$769K within five years, depending on market quantile progression
While the model doesn’t predict short-term moves, it offers a statistical roadmap for investors focused on Bitcoin’s structural growth.
As PlanC summarized:
“I’m confident this is one of the best long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available. It’s built to evolve with the data, not with emotion.”
The full quantile model and future updates will be published directly through PlanC’s research feed, offering a transparent, data-based alternative to traditional cycle theories.