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Augur Users Are Predicting England Will Win World Cup Semi-Final



De Silva

It’s a beautiful game.

It's a little past half-time of the semi-final match between England and Croatia in the 2018 World Cup (currently, England's leading 1-0). If you're a cryptocurrency fanatic, you might mosey on over to Augur, a recently-launched prediction market to place a bet on the match. Right now, users have collectively assigned a 63 percent likelihood that England will win the match.


There are also open markets to predict the result after 90 minutes (the end of regulation). Right now, users have assigned a 25 percent likelihood to Croatia winning, a 34 percent likelihood that the match will be at a stalemate, and a 39 percent likelihood that England will win during regulation.

Note: It's unclear whether "90 minutes" includes stoppage time, an obvious example of the imperfect science of creating prediction markets.


Matthew De Silva

Matthew has a passion for law and technology. He graduated from Georgetown University, where he studied international economics and music. Matthew enjoys biking and listening to tech podcasts. He lives in Los Angeles.

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