- Altcoin exchange inflows drop 36% to $1.6B monthly, down from $2.5B annual average, signaling reduced sell pressure metrics.
- Historical data shows similar low inflows precede major altcoin rallies like those in August–September 2024 and late 2023.
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. flagged a sharp drop in altcoin exchange inflows that may signal the start of a fresh rally. The data, shared on X on June 27, shows that monthly inflows fell to $1.6 billion—36 percent below the $2.5 billion annual average.
Exchange inflows measure the amount of altcoin tokens moving onto trading platforms. When that figure falls, it often means holders keep their coins off exchanges, reducing selling pressure. Historically, similar pullbacks in inflows have come before major price gains for tokens beyond Bitcoin.
As of June 27, the average monthly altcoin exchange flow stands at $1.6B, below the annual average of $2.5B. This moderate flow suggests asset consolidation and growing accumulation potential ahead of the next altseason wave.
On the chart, green circles highlight periods when… pic.twitter.com/VmNjgJLXbG
— Axel 💎🙌 Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) June 27, 2025
From August to September 2024, inflows dipped below the annual average, and altcoin prices rose sharply in the following weeks. Likewise, the second half of 2023 saw low exchange inflows before a broad token upswing. These patterns support the view that lower inflows can form a quiet buildup before a surge.
Adler Jr. said that when inflows slip under $1.6 billion, market participants often shift from short-term trading to longer-term holding. At times, funds first flow into Bitcoin before returning to altcoins with renewed strength. Thus, a brief lull on exchange deposits can set the stage for a powerful comeback in tokens like Ethereum, Solana and others.
CryptoQuant’s chart shows the recent drop coinciding with sideways price action. As capital consolidates off exchanges, the market may be entering an accumulation phase. Traders often watch for volume spikes on exchanges as an entry signal once inflows rise again.
Why does this matter? With fewer coins on platforms, any uptick in buy orders can have an outsized impact on price. In effect, the market “tightens” its supply, making room for sharper upward moves when demand returns. That setup can unleash quick gains if sentiment turns positive.
Of course, no single metric guarantees a rally. Geopolitical factors, regulatory news and broader market trends still play a role. Yet the inflow drop adds to other bullish signs, such as growing on-chain activity and stablecoin balance growth.
For now, traders may watch inflows and price levels for confirmation. A rise in exchange deposits could dampen upside potential, while continued low inflows might keep the door open for the next altseason wave.
